Research and advisory firm Gartner has published a forecast projecting that data-center electricity consumption will grow 26% in 2026. The figure, released in June 2026, puts a number on what utilities, grid operators, and data-center builders have been experiencing on the ground: power — not land, capital, or chips — has become the binding constraint on digital-infrastructure growth.

Executive Summary

Gartner’s headline claim is simple: the electricity consumed by data centers will rise 26% in 2026. For context, most mature electricity systems in developed economies have spent two decades planning around annual demand growth in the low single digits. A single customer class growing 26% in one year is the kind of step-change that utility resource plans — documents typically written on five-to-fifteen-year horizons — were not designed to absorb.

The forecast matters less as a precise number than as a planning signal. If even a substantial fraction of that growth materializes, it shapes generation procurement, transmission buildout, interconnection queues, and electricity rates for every other customer sharing the grid. For data-center operators and their customers, it also signals that access to secured, deliverable power will continue to separate projects that get built from projects that wait.

A 26% Jump Is a Planning Problem, Not Just a Number

Electric utilities plan in decades. Building a new gas plant, a transmission line, or a large substation typically takes years of permitting, procurement, and construction. Demand that grows 26% in a single year — even within one customer segment — compresses those timelines past what traditional integrated resource planning can handle. The practical consequence is already visible across the industry: multi-year interconnection queues (the waiting list to connect large new loads or generators to the grid), utilities demanding long-term take-or-pay commitments from data-center customers, and regulators debating who bears the cost if forecast demand fails to show up.

The forecast, in other words, is best read as a statement about mismatch: digital infrastructure now moves at software-industry speed, while the electricity system that feeds it still moves at heavy-civil-engineering speed. Closing that gap — through faster permitting, on-site generation, or demand flexibility — is the defining infrastructure challenge the number points to.

AI Is Rewriting the Load Curve

Growth of this magnitude is not organic expansion of traditional enterprise computing. Conventional data-center workloads — web serving, databases, storage — grew steadily for years while efficiency gains (better chips, better cooling, higher utilization) kept electricity demand roughly flat. What changed is accelerated computing: AI training and inference run on dense GPU racks that can draw several times the power of traditional server racks and tend to run at sustained high utilization rather than in daily peaks and troughs.

That load profile is a mixed blessing for utilities. Flat, predictable, around-the-clock demand is easier to serve than spiky demand and can improve grid economics by spreading fixed costs over more kilowatt-hours. But it also removes slack: a grid serving large always-on loads has less headroom for extreme weather events and less tolerance for generation shortfalls. How much of Gartner’s projected growth is firm, flexible, or interruptible will matter as much as the total.

Winners, Losers, and the Power Value Chain

If the forecast is directionally right, the beneficiaries extend well beyond data-center operators. Makers of transformers, switchgear, generators, and cooling equipment — many already quoting extended lead times — see demand visibility measured in years. Generation developers, from gas turbines to nuclear restarts to utility-scale renewables paired with storage, gain a creditworthy customer class willing to sign long-dated contracts. Utilities in data-center-heavy regions gain load growth after decades of stagnation, though with real execution and rate-design risk.

The squeezed parties are those competing for the same electrons and equipment: other large industrial loads, smaller colocation players without utility relationships, and — if cost allocation is handled poorly — residential ratepayers. For data-center operators themselves, the forecast reinforces an emerging hierarchy: companies holding contracted, deliverable power capacity own an appreciating asset, while those still in interconnection queues hold an option of uncertain value.

Treat the Number as a Signal, Not a Certainty

A forecast is a model, and this one — as syndicated — arrives without its assumptions attached. Projections of AI-driven power demand have varied widely across analysts, and history urges caution: early-2000s forecasts of runaway internet power consumption overshot badly because they underestimated efficiency gains. Chip-level performance-per-watt improvements, smarter model architectures, and rising inference efficiency could all bend the curve; conversely, faster-than-expected enterprise AI adoption could steepen it.

The even-handed reading is that Gartner’s 26% figure is a credible-sounding midpoint from an established research house, but its value depends on methodology the public headline does not disclose — baseline year, geographic scope, and workload assumptions among them. Planners should treat it as one scenario input, not a settled fact.

Background

Data-center electricity demand was, for roughly a decade before the AI era, a story of successful restraint: workloads migrated into ever-more-efficient hyperscale facilities, and total consumption grew far more slowly than computing output. That equilibrium broke with the generative-AI buildout that began in earnest in 2023, as operators raced to deploy GPU clusters whose power density and utilization patterns overwhelmed the old efficiency offsets. Since then, power availability has displaced real estate as the industry’s primary constraint, and forecasts from analysts, utilities, and government agencies have been repeatedly revised upward.

Gartner, a research and advisory firm whose projections are widely used in enterprise technology planning, publishes recurring forecasts on data-center spending and infrastructure. Its June 2026 electricity-consumption forecast lands amid active debate among utilities, regulators, and operators over how much of the projected AI load will actually materialize — and who should pay to serve it.

Source: Gartner Says Data Center Electricity Consumption to Grow 26% in 2026 — Gartner’s June 2026 forecast announcement, as syndicated via Google News.

Goldman Sachs, the US investment bank, has published a projection that electricity demand from US data centers will double by 2027, according to a report circulated on May 19, 2026. The forecast frames the artificial-intelligence computing buildout not as a niche technology story but as one of the largest near-term drivers of US electricity consumption.

Executive Summary

The headline claim is simple and stark: the amount of power consumed by US data centers — the facilities that house the servers behind cloud services and AI models — is projected by Goldman Sachs to double by 2027. A doubling over such a short horizon is extraordinary for electricity demand, a category that in the US grew slowly or stayed flat for most of the two decades before the AI boom.

Why it matters: power, not land or chips, has become the binding constraint on data-center expansion. If a major financial institution’s base case is a doubling within roughly a year and a half of the report’s publication, then utilities, grid operators, regulators, and data-center developers are all planning against a demand curve steeper than anything the sector has seen. Forecasts like this one shape capital allocation — transmission projects, generation buildouts, and multi-year power purchase agreements are being underwritten on the strength of exactly this kind of projection.

Power Is Now the Product

For most of the industry’s history, data-center capacity was measured in square feet; today it is measured in megawatts. The Goldman Sachs projection captures that shift: the constraint on AI infrastructure growth is no longer how fast servers can be manufactured, but how fast electricity can be generated and delivered. AI training and inference clusters draw far more power per rack than traditional enterprise computing, which is why demand can double even if the number of buildings grows much more slowly.

A doubling forecast, if it holds, effectively converts every data-center siting decision into an energy-procurement decision. Markets with available grid interconnection — the formal process of connecting a large load to the transmission system — gain a decisive advantage over markets with cheaper land or better fiber routes. That reorders the competitive map for developers and colocation providers alike.

Who Absorbs the Demand — and Who Profits

Utilities and independent power producers are the most direct beneficiaries of a demand doubling: large, creditworthy, around-the-clock loads are the customers grid operators dream of. Transmission builders, transformer and switchgear manufacturers, and backup-power suppliers sit next in line, since delivering twice the load requires physical equipment that is already supply-constrained industry-wide.

The cost side is less comfortable. Rapid demand growth tends to push up wholesale power prices and interconnection wait times, which raises operating costs for every data-center operator — including those serving ordinary cloud and enterprise workloads rather than AI. Residential and industrial ratepayers in data-center-heavy regions may also bear part of the grid-upgrade cost, a tension that is already a live regulatory debate in several US states.

Reading a Bank Forecast Critically

It is worth being precise about what this is: a projection by an investment bank, not a measurement. Demand forecasts for AI infrastructure have varied widely across analysts, and they are sensitive to assumptions about chip efficiency, model sizes, and how much announced capacity actually gets energized on schedule. Goldman Sachs has a research franchise in this area, but banks also have commercial exposure to the energy and technology sectors they cover, so the appropriate posture is neither dismissal nor uncritical adoption.

The strongest reason to take the direction of the forecast seriously — even if the exact multiple proves off — is that it aligns with observable behavior: hyperscale operators signing long-dated power agreements, utilities revising load forecasts upward, and interconnection queues lengthening. Forecasts can be wrong on timing and still be right about the trend that planners must build for.

Background

US data centers spent two decades as a quiet, efficient corner of the electricity system: demand grew, but efficiency gains in servers and facility design largely kept national consumption in check. The generative-AI boom that began in late 2022 broke that equilibrium. AI clusters concentrate enormous electrical loads in single campuses, and cloud providers and specialized developers have been racing to build capacity, turning power availability into the industry’s defining constraint.

Goldman Sachs is one of several major financial institutions now publishing recurring research on data-center energy demand, reflecting how central the topic has become to utility planning, energy markets, and technology investment. Its projections are widely cited by developers, utilities, and policymakers — which is precisely why the assumptions behind them merit as much attention as the headlines.

Source: US Data Center Power Demand Projected to Double by 2027 – Goldman Sachs, a report published May 19, 2026, projecting a doubling of US data-center electricity demand by 2027.